Land suitability studies commonly assess biophysical conditions without incorporating regional economic performance, thereby reducing their relevance to site-specific commodity development planning. This study integrates Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)-based land suitability evaluation and regional economic analysis to identify flagship agricultural commodities in the Lalundu and Bambakaenu transmigration areas, Donggala Regency, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia. Field surveys, soil sampling and land characterisation were conducted from August to December 2025, across 33313.72 hectares (ha) delineated into 20 land mapping units (LMUs); climatic analysis drew on 10-year records (2015–24). An FAO matching approach classified each LMU for five perennial crops (cocoa, coconut, coffee, durian and oil palm) into four suitability classes: highly suitable (S1), moderately suitable (S2), marginally suitable (S3) and not suitable (N). Location quotient (LQ) and shift–share analysis (SSA) were used to assess regional economic performance using agricultural production data from 2020–24. All five commodities were predominantly classified as S3, covering over 92 % of the study area, with water availability, rooting conditions, nutrient availability and retention and erosion risk as the principal limiting factors. Feasible improvement measures increased the potential S2 area for oil palm and coconut from 362.24 ha (1.09 %) to 8854.51 ha (26.59 %), but did not alter the suitability class for cocoa, durian and coffee unchanged; LMU 6 (2103.51 ha; 6.31 %) remained unsuitable (N) for all crops because of permanent rooting constraints. The LQ and SSA results identified oil palm as the flagship commodity in Lalundu (Rio Pakava Subdistrict), with a five-year average LQ of 3.58 and a net shift of +34.98 %. Cocoa was identified as the flagship commodity in Bambakaenu (Pinembani Subdistrict), with an LQ of 3.20 and the highest net shift among the evaluated commodities (+699.79 %). Assessing biophysical suitability or economic performance in isolation risks commodity misalignment; the integrated framework provides a replicable basis for evidence-based land-use planning in transmigration and other frontier agricultural regions.